PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Changeup 27%Curveball 26%Slider 6%Cutter 5%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .396
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BM Brice Matthews RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Matthews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (27% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (26% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.