PITCHER MATCHUP

Joey Cantillo vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joey Cantillo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joey Cantillo's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Changeup 28%Curveball 24%Slider 7%Cutter 3%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joey Cantillo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .400
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CW Christian Walker RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.