PITCHER MATCHUP
Joe Ryan vs New York Yankees
How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Joe Ryan's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sweeper 15%Splitter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%
How the New York Yankees's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 BR Ben Rice LHB .366
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .349
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JC José Caballero RHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AW Austin Wells LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.