PITCHER MATCHUP
Joe Ryan vs New York Yankees
How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Joe Ryan's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 11%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%
How the New York Yankees's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 BR Ben Rice LHB .363
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .353
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JC José Caballero RHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AW Austin Wells LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.