PITCHER MATCHUP

Joe Ryan vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joe Ryan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sweeper 15%Splitter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .368
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .399
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .440 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .472 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.