PITCHER MATCHUP

Joe Ryan vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joe Ryan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 11%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-07 game page →