PITCHER MATCHUP

Joe Ryan vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joe Ryan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 11%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IC Isaac Collins SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LT Lane Thomas RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Starling Marte RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-29 game page →