PITCHER MATCHUP

Joe Ryan vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joe Ryan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.