PITCHER MATCHUP

Joe Ryan vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joe Ryan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sweeper 15%Splitter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.