PITCHER MATCHUP
Joe Ryan vs Texas Rangers
How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Joe Ryan's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 11%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%
How the Texas Rangers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .308
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Jake Burger RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .281
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 EC Evan Carter LHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JS Josh Smith LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.