PITCHER MATCHUP
Joe Ryan vs Texas Rangers
How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Joe Ryan's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%
How the Texas Rangers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .311
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 652 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Jake Burger RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 EC Evan Carter LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JJ Josh Jung RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CS Corey Seager LHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .286
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.