PITCHER MATCHUP
Joe Ryan vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Joe Ryan's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .273Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 11%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .327
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 627 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Max Muncy LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TE Tommy Edman SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AF Alex Freeland SH .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.