PITCHER MATCHUP

Joe Ryan vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joe Ryan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .301
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MW Masyn Winn RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VS Victor Scott II LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.