PITCHER MATCHUP

Joe Ryan vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joe Ryan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .263Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 11%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 6%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (6% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.