PITCHER MATCHUP

Joe Ryan vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joe Ryan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 11%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.