PITCHER MATCHUP

Joe Ryan vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Joe Ryan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Joe Ryan's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sweeper 14%Splitter 13%Sinker 10%Slider 8%Knuckle Curve 7%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Joe Ryan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .384
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.