PITCHER MATCHUP

Jeffrey Springs vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jeffrey Springs's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 25%Slider 21%Sweeper 6%Cutter 5%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.