PITCHER MATCHUP

Jeffrey Springs vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jeffrey Springs's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Slider 22%Sweeper 6%Cutter 4%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AM Austin Martin RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 RL Royce Lewis RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VC Victor Caratini SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-26 game page →