PITCHER MATCHUP
Jeffrey Springs vs Minnesota Twins
How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jeffrey Springs's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 25%Slider 22%Sweeper 6%Cutter 4%
How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .309
-
1 BL Brooks Lee SH .283
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 JB Josh Bell SH .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 KC Kody Clemens SH .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
7 VC Victor Caratini SH .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
8 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.