PITCHER MATCHUP

Jeffrey Springs vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jeffrey Springs's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Slider 22%Sweeper 6%Cutter 4%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-08 game page →