PITCHER MATCHUP

Jeffrey Springs vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jeffrey Springs's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 25%Slider 21%Sweeper 6%Cutter 5%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.