PITCHER MATCHUP

Jeffrey Springs vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jeffrey Springs's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Slider 22%Sweeper 6%Cutter 4%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.