PITCHER MATCHUP

Jeffrey Springs vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jeffrey Springs's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .331vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 25%Slider 21%Sweeper 6%Cutter 5%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 511 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .271
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-17 game page →