PITCHER MATCHUP

Jeffrey Springs vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jeffrey Springs's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 25%Slider 21%Sweeper 6%Cutter 5%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .253
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .273
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.