PITCHER MATCHUP

Jeffrey Springs vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jeffrey Springs's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 25%Slider 22%Sweeper 6%Cutter 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-30 game page →