PITCHER MATCHUP
Jeffrey Springs vs Arizona Diamondbacks
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jeffrey Springs's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .333vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 25%Slider 21%Sweeper 6%Cutter 5%
How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .317
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1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 658 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.