PITCHER MATCHUP

Jeffrey Springs vs Arizona Diamondbacks

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jeffrey Springs's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jeffrey Springs's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Changeup 24%Slider 22%Sweeper 6%Cutter 4%

How the Arizona Diamondbacks's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Arizona Diamondbacks's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jeffrey Springs, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .267
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-20 game page →