PITCHER MATCHUP

Jedixson Paez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jedixson Paez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jedixson Paez's arsenal

Throws RHPSeasons 2026
Changeup 26%Four-Seam Fastball 21%Curveball 20%Cutter 17%Sinker 17%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jedixson Paez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CY Cole Young LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 565 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Changeup (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.