PITCHER MATCHUP

Javier Assad vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Javier Assad's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Javier Assad's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Cutter 20%Four-Seam Fastball 15%Sweeper 10%Curveball 9%Changeup 6%Slider 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Javier Assad, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Sinker (38% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-17 game page →