PITCHER MATCHUP

Javier Assad vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Javier Assad's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Javier Assad's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Cutter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%Changeup 6%Slider 3%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Javier Assad, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.