PITCHER MATCHUP

Javier Assad vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Javier Assad's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Javier Assad's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .357vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Cutter 18%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%Changeup 6%Slider 3%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Javier Assad, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .217 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .225 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .243 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.