PITCHER MATCHUP

Javier Assad vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Javier Assad's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Javier Assad's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .359vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Cutter 17%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%Changeup 6%Slider 3%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Javier Assad, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .226 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .391
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .455 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.