PITCHER MATCHUP

Javier Assad vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Javier Assad's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Javier Assad's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .353vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Cutter 17%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%Changeup 6%Slider 3%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Javier Assad, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-05 game page →