PITCHER MATCHUP
Javier Assad vs San Francisco Giants
How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Javier Assad's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Javier Assad's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .345vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 38%Cutter 20%Four-Seam Fastball 15%Sweeper 10%Curveball 9%Changeup 6%Slider 3%
How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Javier Assad, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .314
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1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 WA Willy Adames RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 556 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 LA Luis Arraez LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 MC Matt Chapman RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DS Daniel Susac RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
- Sinker (38% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.