PITCHER MATCHUP

Javier Assad vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Javier Assad's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Javier Assad's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Four-Seam Fastball 17%Cutter 17%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%Changeup 6%Slider 3%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Javier Assad, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .331
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 625 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Max Muncy LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .222 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .222 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TE Tommy Edman SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AF Alex Freeland SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.