PITCHER MATCHUP

Javier Assad vs Los Angeles Dodgers

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Javier Assad's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Javier Assad's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .355vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 17%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%Changeup 6%Slider 3%

How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Javier Assad, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .332
  1. 1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AP Andy Pages RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Max Muncy LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .224 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TE Tommy Edman SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 WS Will Smith RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AF Alex Freeland SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.