PITCHER MATCHUP

Javier Assad vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Javier Assad's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Javier Assad's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sinker 39%Four-Seam Fastball 18%Cutter 17%Sweeper 9%Curveball 8%Changeup 6%Slider 3%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Javier Assad, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Sinker (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .207 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.