PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.