PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 35%Changeup 10%Curveball 10%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willi Castro SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EJ Edouard Julien LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edouard Julien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →