PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 35%Changeup 11%Curveball 8%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 581 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 506 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.