PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.