PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SS Spencer Steer RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DM Dane Myers RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.