PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 644 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TS Trevor Story RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.