PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 618 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.