PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 35%Changeup 10%Curveball 8%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 663 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.