PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .381
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.