PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .367vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 34%Changeup 11%Curveball 9%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .374
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-02 game page →