PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .292Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 35%Changeup 11%Curveball 8%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 560 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-09 game page →