PITCHER MATCHUP
Jared Jones vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jared Jones's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .296Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 35%Changeup 10%Curveball 8%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .330
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 BB Brett Baty LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 623 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JS Juan Soto LHB .402
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .456 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.