PITCHER MATCHUP
Jared Jones vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jared Jones's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .330
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CB Carson Benge LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 BB Brett Baty LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JS Juan Soto LHB .401
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .452 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 JY Jared Young LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.