PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.