PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .295Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 35%Changeup 11%Curveball 8%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 AB Alex Bregman RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TT Tyrone Taylor RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyrone Taylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.