PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 11%Curveball 8%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-28 game page →