PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.