PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 11%Curveball 9%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →