PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CY Christian Yelich LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DH David Hamilton LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.