PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 35%Changeup 10%Curveball 8%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jackson Chourio SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JB Jake Bauers LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 SF Sal Frelick LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DH David Hamilton LHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.