PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 35%Changeup 11%Curveball 8%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.