PITCHER MATCHUP

Jared Jones vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jared Jones's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jared Jones's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .283vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 34%Changeup 10%Curveball 9%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jared Jones, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 679 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (34% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.