PITCHER MATCHUP
Jameson Taillon vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jameson Taillon's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jameson Taillon's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Cutter 18%Sweeper 16%Curveball 13%Changeup 11%Sinker 9%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jameson Taillon, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .327
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 RG Riley Greene LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.