PITCHER MATCHUP

Jameson Taillon vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jameson Taillon's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jameson Taillon's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Cutter 18%Sweeper 16%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Sinker 9%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jameson Taillon, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-10 game page →