PITCHER MATCHUP

Jameson Taillon vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jameson Taillon's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jameson Taillon's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Cutter 18%Sweeper 16%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Sinker 9%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jameson Taillon, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TS Trevor Story RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.