PITCHER MATCHUP

Jameson Taillon vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jameson Taillon's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jameson Taillon's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Cutter 18%Sweeper 16%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Sinker 9%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jameson Taillon, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-26 game page →