PITCHER MATCHUP

Jameson Taillon vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jameson Taillon's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jameson Taillon's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Cutter 18%Sweeper 16%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Sinker 9%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jameson Taillon, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .396
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Cam Smith RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JA Jose Altuve RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 CV Christian Vázquez RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Vázquez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →