PITCHER MATCHUP

Jameson Taillon vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jameson Taillon's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jameson Taillon's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .343vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Cutter 18%Sweeper 16%Curveball 13%Changeup 12%Sinker 9%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jameson Taillon, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .392
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.