PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .375vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 28%Sinker 21%Cutter 7%Changeup 7%Sweeper 3%Slider 2%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WC Willi Castro SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CN Connor Norby RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CC Cole Carrigg SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BS Brett Sullivan LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Sullivan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-27 game page →