PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .380vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 29%Sinker 22%Cutter 7%Changeup 6%Slider 2%Sweeper 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 AB Alec Bohm RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .441 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →