PITCHER MATCHUP
Jake Irvin vs Philadelphia Phillies
How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jake Irvin's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 27%Sinker 21%Changeup 7%Cutter 7%Sweeper 3%Slider 2%
How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .324
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1 TT Trea Turner RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 708 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .359
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .360
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 568 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.