PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 27%Sinker 21%Changeup 7%Cutter 7%Sweeper 4%Slider 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .435 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CT Colby Thomas RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colby Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.