PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs San Diego Padres

How the San Diego Padres's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 27%Sinker 21%Changeup 7%Cutter 7%Sweeper 4%Slider 2%

How the San Diego Padres's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Diego Padres's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 FT Fernando Tatis Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Fernando Tatis Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jackson Merrill LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Merrill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Manny Machado RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Manny Machado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 XB Xander Bogaerts RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xander Bogaerts
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TF Ty France RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ty France
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jake Cronenworth LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Cronenworth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GS Gavin Sheets LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gavin Sheets
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MA Miguel Andujar RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Andujar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 FF Freddy Fermin RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddy Fermin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.