PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .379vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 28%Sinker 22%Cutter 7%Changeup 6%Sweeper 3%Slider 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .238 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →