PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 27%Sinker 21%Changeup 7%Cutter 7%Sweeper 4%Slider 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .330
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .393
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .434 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.