PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .376vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 28%Sinker 21%Cutter 7%Changeup 7%Sweeper 3%Slider 2%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-22 game page →