PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .369vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 27%Sinker 21%Changeup 7%Cutter 7%Sweeper 3%Slider 2%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 587 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 561 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 607 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 IH Ian Happ SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 622 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.