PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .378vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 28%Sinker 22%Cutter 7%Changeup 6%Sweeper 2%Slider 2%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 538 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MB Michael Busch LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-11 game page →