PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .373vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 27%Sinker 21%Changeup 7%Cutter 7%Sweeper 3%Slider 2%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-20 game page →