PITCHER MATCHUP
Jake Irvin vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jake Irvin's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .372vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 27%Sinker 21%Changeup 7%Cutter 7%Sweeper 4%Slider 2%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .357
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.