PITCHER MATCHUP

Jake Irvin vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jake Irvin's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jake Irvin's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .380vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 29%Sinker 22%Cutter 6%Changeup 6%Slider 2%Sweeper 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jake Irvin, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 492 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .431 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (2% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-30 game page →