PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Misiorowski vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Misiorowski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Misiorowski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .230vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 60%Slider 21%Curveball 12%Changeup 4%Cutter 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Misiorowski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JB JJ Bleday LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 BD Blake Dunn RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-02 game page →