PITCHER MATCHUP
Jacob Misiorowski vs Cincinnati Reds
How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Misiorowski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jacob Misiorowski's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .217vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 61%Slider 18%Curveball 11%Cutter 8%Changeup 2%
How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Misiorowski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .310
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1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .354
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (2% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 MM Matt McLain RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (2% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 SS Spencer Steer RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
- Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 DM Dane Myers RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .281
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
- Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
- Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.