PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Misiorowski vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Misiorowski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Misiorowski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .219vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 60%Slider 20%Curveball 13%Cutter 4%Changeup 3%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Misiorowski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-12 game page →