PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Misiorowski vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Misiorowski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Misiorowski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .220vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 61%Slider 19%Curveball 12%Cutter 5%Changeup 3%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Misiorowski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (61% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.