PITCHER MATCHUP
Jacob Misiorowski vs Chicago Cubs
How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Misiorowski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jacob Misiorowski's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .214vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 60%Slider 19%Curveball 13%Cutter 5%Changeup 3%
How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Misiorowski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .320
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1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MB Michael Busch LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IH Ian Happ SH .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
- Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (5% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (3% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.