PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Misiorowski vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Misiorowski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Misiorowski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .223vs RHH xwOBA .274Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 60%Slider 20%Curveball 12%Cutter 4%Changeup 4%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Misiorowski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-07 game page →