PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Misiorowski vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Misiorowski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Misiorowski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .233vs RHH xwOBA .268Seasons 2026–2025
Four-Seam Fastball 60%Slider 23%Curveball 13%Changeup 4%Cutter 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Misiorowski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 469 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (60% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (23% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-19 game page →