PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 32%Cutter 18%Changeup 11%Sinker 5%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.