PITCHER MATCHUP
Jacob Lopez vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Jacob Lopez's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .296vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 31%Cutter 17%Changeup 12%Sinker 6%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .315
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1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
- Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
- Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DR Drew Romo SH .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Romo
- Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-10 game page →