PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .303Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 32%Cutter 18%Changeup 11%Sinker 4%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.