PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .309Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 31%Cutter 16%Changeup 11%Sinker 6%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Austin Martin RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RL Royce Lewis RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 VC Victor Caratini SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →