PITCHER MATCHUP

Jacob Lopez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Jacob Lopez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Jacob Lopez's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .272vs RHH xwOBA .301Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%Slider 32%Cutter 18%Changeup 11%Sinker 5%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Jacob Lopez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.